Middleweight
3 Rounds
Riki Fukuda won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 25, 2012·Saitama, Japan, Japan
Style matchupRiki Fukuda: WrestlervsSteve Cantwell: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Riki Fukuda wins(59.3%)
Actual result: Riki Fukuda wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Riki Fukuda (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Riki Fukuda
Red Corner
VS
Steve Cantwell
Blue Corner
-310
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+280
(26%)
45
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'2"
185.42 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Riki Fukuda
oldest →latest
L
vs Nick Ring · Feb 11L
vs Costas Philippou · Jul 12W
vs Tom DeBlass · Nov 12L
vs Brad Tavares · Mar 13Steve CantwellL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Cyrille Diabate · Mar 11L
vs Mike Massenzio · Oct 11Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Riki FukudaMetricSteve Cantwell
4.24
Strikes / min
3.63
3.71
Strikes absorbed / min
5.76
64%
Strike defense
55%
2.17
TDs / 15 min
0.65
70%
Takedown defense
80%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.53Δ 2.66 — meaningful gap-2.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Riki FukudaSteve Cantwell
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Riki Fukuda(5 fights)Steve Cantwell(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+17.0-17.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+224.0-224.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-2.42.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Riki Fukuda
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights5
Steve Cantwell
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights3