Welterweight
3 Rounds
Rinat Fakhretdinov won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 26, 2024·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupRinat Fakhretdinov: WrestlervsCarlos Leal: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Rinat Fakhretdinov wins(74.7%)
Actual result: Rinat Fakhretdinov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rinat Fakhretdinov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Tale of the Tape
Rinat Fakhretdinov
Red Corner
VS
Carlos Leal
Blue Corner
-218
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
34
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rinat FakhretdinovW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Andreas Michailidis · Jun 22W
vs Bryan Battle · Dec 22W
SUBvs Kevin Lee · Jul 23W
vs Nicolas Dalby · Jun 24W
KOvs Andreas Gustafsson · Sep 25Carlos Leal
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Alex Morono · Mar 25L
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Jul 25W
vs Chidi Njokuani · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rinat FakhretdinovMetricCarlos Leal
5.03
Strikes / min
8.75
3.61
Strikes absorbed / min
7.78
54%
Strike defense
48%
3.91
TDs / 15 min
0.43
91%
Takedown defense
90%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.42evenly matched on net striking+0.97
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Rinat FakhretdinovCarlos Leal
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rinat Fakhretdinov(6 fights)Carlos Leal(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+77.4-77.4
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.449.4
Rinat Fakhretdinov
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights6
Carlos Leal
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4