Welterweight
3 Rounds
Rinat Fakhretdinov won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 22, 2024·Riyadh, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, Saudi Arabia
Style matchupRinat Fakhretdinov: WrestlervsNicolas Dalby: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Rinat Fakhretdinov wins(71.5%)
Actual result: Rinat Fakhretdinov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rinat Fakhretdinov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Rinat Fakhretdinov has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Rinat Fakhretdinov
Red Corner
VS
Nicolas Dalby
Blue Corner
-395
(80%)
Vegas Odds
+310
(24%)
34
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rinat FakhretdinovW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Andreas Michailidis · Jun 22W
vs Bryan Battle · Dec 22W
SUBvs Kevin Lee · Jul 23W
vs Carlos Leal · Oct 24W
KOvs Andreas Gustafsson · Sep 25Nicolas Dalby
oldest →latest
W
vs Warlley Alves · Jan 23W
vs Muslim Salikhov · Jun 23W
KOvs Gabriel Bonfim · Nov 23L
KOvs Randy Brown · Apr 25W
vs Saygid Izagakhmaev · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rinat FakhretdinovMetricNicolas Dalby
5.03
Strikes / min
3.88
3.61
Strikes absorbed / min
3.51
54%
Strike defense
52%
3.91
TDs / 15 min
0.90
91%
Takedown defense
59%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.42Δ 1.05 — meaningful gap+0.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Rinat FakhretdinovNicolas Dalby
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rinat Fakhretdinov(6 fights)Nicolas Dalby(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-11.911.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+126.0-126.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Rinat Fakhretdinov
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights6
Nicolas Dalby
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights14