Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rinat Fakhretdinov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Rinat Fakhretdinov has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rinat FakhretdinovW5 streak
oldest →W
vs Andreas Michailidis · Jun 22W
vs Bryan Battle · Dec 22W
SUBvs Kevin Lee · Jul 23W
KOvs Andreas Gustafsson · Sep 25 Nicolas Dalby
oldest →W
vs Warlley Alves · Jan 23W
vs Muslim Salikhov · Jun 23W
KOvs Gabriel Bonfim · Nov 23L
KOvs Randy Brown · Apr 25W
vs Saygid Izagakhmaev · Nov 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rinat FakhretdinovMetricNicolas Dalby
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.42Δ 1.05 — meaningful gap+0.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Rinat FakhretdinovNicolas Dalby
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rinat Fakhretdinov(6 fights)Nicolas Dalby(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +32.0|Blue -32.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +126.0|Blue -126.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Rinat FakhretdinovTargetNicolas Dalby
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Rinat Fakhretdinov rounds
Round 1Rinat Fakhretdinov edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns1
Control1:36
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:17Control
Round 2Nicolas Dalby edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns2
Control1:23
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:57Control
Round 3Rinat Fakhretdinov edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns2
Control3:18
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:43Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
