Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rinya Nakamura enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Rinya Nakamura (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rinya NakamuraW4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Toshiomi Kazama · Feb 23W
vs Fernie Garcia · Aug 23W
KOvs Nathan Fletcher · Aug 25 Muin Gafurov
oldest →L
vs John Castaneda · Jun 23L
SUBvs Said Nurmagomedov · Oct 23W
vs Kyung Ho Kang · Jun 24L
SUBvs Jakub Wiklacz · Feb 26 Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Rinya NakamuraMuin Gafurov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rinya Nakamura(5 fights)Muin Gafurov(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +53.0|Blue -53.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +126.0|Blue -126.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage