Lightweight
3 Rounds
Nik Lentz won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Wednesday, March 31, 2010·Charlotte, North Carolina, USA, USA
Style matchupRob Emerson: WrestlervsNik Lentz: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Nik Lentz wins(56.0%)
Actual result: Nik Lentz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nik Lentz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Rob Emerson has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Rob Emerson has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Rob Emerson
Red Corner
VS
Nik Lentz
Blue Corner
+130
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-150
(60%)
44
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rob EmersonNo prior UFC fights on record.
Nik LentzL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Gray Maynard · Oct 18W
vs Scott Holtzman · Feb 19L
KOvs Charles Oliveira · May 19L
vs Arnold Allen · Jan 20L
vs Movsar Evloev · Jan 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rob EmersonMetricNik Lentz
2.50
Strikes / min
3.44
2.83
Strikes absorbed / min
3.25
64%
Strike defense
50%
2.02
TDs / 15 min
3.30
65%
Takedown defense
43%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.33evenly matched on net striking+0.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Rob EmersonNik Lentz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rob Emerson(1 fights)Nik Lentz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Rob Emerson
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights1
Nik Lentz
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights22