Welterweight
3 Rounds
Ben Askren won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, March 2, 2019·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupRobbie Lawler: Well-roundedvsBen Askren: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Ben Askren wins(53.8%)
Actual result: Ben Askren wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Robbie Lawler is a KO finisher (55% of wins). Ben Askren has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Robbie Lawler has 23pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Robbie Lawler has 65pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Robbie Lawler (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Robbie Lawler
Red Corner
VS
Ben Askren
Blue Corner
+240
(29%)
Vegas Odds
-280
(74%)
44
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Robbie Lawler
oldest →latest
L
vs Colby Covington · Aug 19L
SUBvs Neil Magny · Aug 20W
KOvs Nick Diaz · Sep 21L
KOvs Bryan Barberena · Jul 22W
KOvs Niko Price · Jul 23Ben AskrenL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Jorge Masvidal · Jul 19L
SUBvs Demian Maia · Oct 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Robbie LawlerMetricBen Askren
3.85
Strikes / min
3.64
4.67
Strikes absorbed / min
5.66
59%
Strike defense
36%
0.65
TDs / 15 min
4.33
65%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.82Δ 1.20 — meaningful gap-2.02
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Robbie LawlerBen Askren
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Robbie Lawler(10 fights)Ben Askren(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+117.0-117.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-47.647.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
Robbie Lawler
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights18
Ben Askren
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights3