Welterweight
3 Rounds
Robbie Lawler won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, July 27, 2013·Seattle, Washington, USA, USA
Style matchupRobbie Lawler: Well-roundedvsBobby Voelker: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Robbie Lawler wins(68.5%)
Actual result: Robbie Lawler wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Bobby Voelker enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Robbie Lawler has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Robbie Lawler (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Robbie Lawler
Red Corner
VS
Bobby Voelker
Blue Corner
-345
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+315
(24%)
44
Age
47
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Robbie Lawler
oldest →latest
L
vs Colby Covington · Aug 19L
SUBvs Neil Magny · Aug 20W
KOvs Nick Diaz · Sep 21L
KOvs Bryan Barberena · Jul 22W
KOvs Niko Price · Jul 23Bobby VoelkerL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Patrick Cote · Mar 13L
vs William Patolino · Dec 13L
vs Lance Benoist · Jun 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Robbie LawlerMetricBobby Voelker
3.85
Strikes / min
4.01
4.67
Strikes absorbed / min
5.84
59%
Strike defense
42%
0.65
TDs / 15 min
1.04
65%
Takedown defense
66%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.82Δ 1.01 — meaningful gap-1.83
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Robbie LawlerBobby Voelker
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Robbie Lawler(10 fights)Bobby Voelker(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+40.0-40.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+2.0-2.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Robbie Lawler
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights18
Bobby Voelker
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4