Welterweight
3 Rounds
Bryan Barberena won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, July 2, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupRobbie Lawler: Well-roundedvsBryan Barberena: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Bryan Barberena wins(53.3%)
Actual result: Bryan Barberena wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Bryan Barberena enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Robbie Lawler has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Robbie Lawler has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Robbie Lawler
Red Corner
VS
Bryan Barberena
Blue Corner
+100
(50%)
Vegas Odds
-120
(55%)
44
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Robbie LawlerW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Ben Askren · Mar 19L
vs Colby Covington · Aug 19L
SUBvs Neil Magny · Aug 20W
KOvs Nick Diaz · Sep 21W
KOvs Niko Price · Jul 23Bryan BarberenaL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Matt Brown · Mar 22L
SUBvs Rafael Dos Anjos · Dec 22L
SUBvs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 23L
vs Makhmud Muradov · Jul 23L
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Mar 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Robbie LawlerMetricBryan Barberena
3.85
Strikes / min
5.35
4.67
Strikes absorbed / min
4.59
59%
Strike defense
44%
0.65
TDs / 15 min
0.13
65%
Takedown defense
50%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.82Δ 1.58 — meaningful gap+0.76
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Robbie LawlerBryan Barberena
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Robbie Lawler(10 fights)Bryan Barberena(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+35.7-35.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+182.0-182.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Robbie Lawler
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights18
Bryan Barberena
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights19