Welterweight
3 Rounds
Robbie Lawler won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 29, 2017·Anaheim, California, USA, USA
Style matchupRobbie Lawler: Well-roundedvsDonald Cerrone: Submission grappler
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Robbie Lawler wins(61.4%)
Actual result: Robbie Lawler wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Donald Cerrone enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Robbie Lawler is a KO finisher (55% of wins). Donald Cerrone has lost 57% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Robbie Lawler (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Robbie Lawler
Red Corner
VS
Donald Cerrone
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
44
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'1"
187.96 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Robbie Lawler
oldest →latest
L
vs Colby Covington · Aug 19L
SUBvs Neil Magny · Aug 20W
KOvs Nick Diaz · Sep 21L
KOvs Bryan Barberena · Jul 22W
KOvs Niko Price · Jul 23Donald CerroneL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Sep 19L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jan 20L
vs Anthony Pettis · May 20L
KOvs Alex Morono · May 21L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Jul 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Robbie LawlerMetricDonald Cerrone
3.85
Strikes / min
4.41
4.67
Strikes absorbed / min
4.48
59%
Strike defense
53%
0.65
TDs / 15 min
1.16
65%
Takedown defense
73%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.82evenly matched on net striking-0.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Robbie LawlerDonald Cerrone
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Robbie Lawler(10 fights)Donald Cerrone(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-72.172.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+182.0-182.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Robbie Lawler
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights18
Donald Cerrone
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights37