Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Robbie Lawler (53.5%).
- Neil Magny has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Robbie Lawler
oldest →L
SUBvs Ben Askren · Mar 19L
vs Colby Covington · Aug 19L
KOvs Bryan Barberena · Jul 22W
KOvs Niko Price · Jul 23 Neil Magny
oldest →L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 24W
KOvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Aug 25W
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Sep 25L
SUBvs Yaroslav Amosov · Dec 25W
KOvs Ramiz Brahimaj · Aug 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Robbie LawlerMetricNeil Magny
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.82Δ 1.78 — meaningful gap+0.96
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Robbie LawlerNeil Magny
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Robbie Lawler(10 fights)Neil Magny(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -24.2|Blue +24.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.6|Blue +1.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +308.0|Blue -308.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Robbie LawlerTargetNeil Magny
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Neil Magny edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:35
11Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:40Control
Round 2Neil Magny edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:00
16Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:25Control
Round 3Neil Magny edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:58
35Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:09Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
