Welterweight
3 Rounds
Neil Magny won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 29, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupRobbie Lawler: Well-roundedvsNeil Magny: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Robbie Lawler wins(50.8%)
Actual result: Neil Magny wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Robbie Lawler (53.5%).
- Neil Magny has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Robbie Lawler
Red Corner
VS
Neil Magny
Blue Corner
+200
(33%)
Vegas Odds
-250
(71%)
44
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'3"
187.96 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Robbie Lawler
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Ben Askren · Mar 19L
vs Colby Covington · Aug 19W
KOvs Nick Diaz · Sep 21L
KOvs Bryan Barberena · Jul 22W
KOvs Niko Price · Jul 23Neil Magny
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Michael Morales · Aug 24L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 24W
KOvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Aug 25W
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Sep 25L
SUBvs Yaroslav Amosov · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Robbie LawlerMetricNeil Magny
3.85
Strikes / min
3.40
4.67
Strikes absorbed / min
2.44
59%
Strike defense
51%
0.65
TDs / 15 min
2.17
65%
Takedown defense
55%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.82Δ 1.78 — meaningful gap+0.96
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Robbie LawlerNeil Magny
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Robbie Lawler(10 fights)Neil Magny(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-68.168.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+308.0-308.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.61.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Robbie Lawler
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights18
Neil Magny
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights37