Welterweight
3 Rounds
Robbie Lawler won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, July 8, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupRobbie Lawler: Well-roundedvsNiko Price: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Robbie Lawler wins(54.6%)
Actual result: Robbie Lawler wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Niko Price enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Robbie Lawler is a KO finisher (55% of wins). Niko Price has lost 55% of fights by KO.
- Robbie Lawler has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Robbie Lawler has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Robbie Lawler (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Robbie Lawler
Red Corner
VS
Niko Price
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
44
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Robbie Lawler
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Ben Askren · Mar 19L
vs Colby Covington · Aug 19L
SUBvs Neil Magny · Aug 20W
KOvs Nick Diaz · Sep 21L
KOvs Bryan Barberena · Jul 22Niko PriceL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Alex Morono · Jun 24L
vs Themba Gorimbo · Oct 24L
SUBvs Jacobe Smith · Jun 25L
KOvs Nikolay Veretennikov · Feb 26L
SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Robbie LawlerMetricNiko Price
3.85
Strikes / min
5.11
4.67
Strikes absorbed / min
5.57
59%
Strike defense
48%
0.65
TDs / 15 min
1.06
65%
Takedown defense
50%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.82evenly matched on net striking-0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Robbie LawlerNiko Price
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Robbie Lawler(10 fights)Niko Price(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+35.0-35.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+154.0-154.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Robbie Lawler
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights18
Niko Price
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights19