Welterweight
5 Rounds
Rafael Dos Anjos won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, December 16, 2017·Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Robbie Lawler wins(53.8%)
Actual result: Rafael Dos Anjos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rafael Dos Anjos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Robbie Lawler has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Robbie Lawler
Red Corner
VS
Rafael Dos Anjos
Blue Corner
+105
(49%)
Vegas Odds
-125
(56%)
44
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
5'8"
187.96 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Robbie Lawler
oldest →latest
L
vs Colby Covington · Aug 19L
SUBvs Neil Magny · Aug 20W
KOvs Nick Diaz · Sep 21L
KOvs Bryan Barberena · Jul 22W
KOvs Niko Price · Jul 23Rafael Dos AnjosL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Rafael Fiziev · Jul 22W
SUBvs Bryan Barberena · Dec 22L
vs Vicente Luque · Aug 23L
vs Mateusz Gamrot · Mar 24L
KOvs Geoff Neal · Oct 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Robbie LawlerMetricRafael Dos Anjos
3.85
Strikes / min
3.48
4.67
Strikes absorbed / min
3.23
59%
Strike defense
60%
0.65
TDs / 15 min
1.95
65%
Takedown defense
54%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.82Δ 1.07 — meaningful gap+0.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Robbie LawlerRafael Dos Anjos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Robbie Lawler(10 fights)Rafael Dos Anjos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-12.612.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+42.0-42.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Robbie Lawler
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights18
Rafael Dos Anjos
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights32