Welterweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Tyron Woodley won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, July 30, 2016·Atlanta, Georgia, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Robbie Lawler wins(73.4%)
Actual result: Tyron Woodley wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tyron Woodley enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Tyron Woodley has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Robbie Lawler (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Robbie Lawler
Red Corner
VS
Tyron Woodley
Blue Corner
-120
(55%)
Vegas Odds
+100
(50%)
44
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'9"
187.96 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Robbie Lawler
oldest →latest
L
vs Colby Covington · Aug 19L
SUBvs Neil Magny · Aug 20W
KOvs Nick Diaz · Sep 21L
KOvs Bryan Barberena · Jul 22W
KOvs Niko Price · Jul 23Tyron WoodleyL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Darren Till · Sep 18L
vs Kamaru Usman · Mar 19L
vs Gilbert Burns · May 20L
KOvs Colby Covington · Sep 20L
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Mar 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Robbie LawlerMetricTyron Woodley
3.85
Strikes / min
2.36
4.67
Strikes absorbed / min
2.76
59%
Strike defense
54%
0.65
TDs / 15 min
1.06
65%
Takedown defense
87%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.82evenly matched on net striking-0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Robbie LawlerTyron Woodley
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Robbie Lawler(10 fights)Tyron Woodley(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+70.9-70.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-336.0336.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Robbie Lawler
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights18
Tyron Woodley
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights15