Middleweight
5 Rounds
Robert Whittaker won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 26, 2016·Melbourne, Victoria, Australia, Australia
Style matchupRobert Whittaker: Well-roundedvsDerek Brunson: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Derek Brunson wins(52.7%)
Actual result: Robert Whittaker wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Derek Brunson (53.5%).
- Derek Brunson has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Robert Whittaker
Red Corner
VS
Derek Brunson
Blue Corner
+100
(50%)
Vegas Odds
-120
(55%)
35
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'1"
185.42 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Robert WhittakerL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Dricus Du Plessis · Jul 23W
vs Paulo Costa · Feb 24W
KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Jun 24L
SUBvs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 24L
vs Reinier de Ridder · Jul 25Derek BrunsonL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Aug 20W
vs Kevin Holland · Mar 21W
SUBvs Darren Till · Sep 21L
KOvs Jared Cannonier · Feb 22L
KOvs Dricus Du Plessis · Mar 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Robert WhittakerMetricDerek Brunson
4.39
Strikes / min
3.51
3.36
Strikes absorbed / min
3.05
59%
Strike defense
51%
0.73
TDs / 15 min
3.14
82%
Takedown defense
85%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.03evenly matched on net striking+0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Robert WhittakerDerek Brunson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Robert Whittaker(10 fights)Derek Brunson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-7.77.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+147.0-147.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.8-1.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Robert Whittaker
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights24
Derek Brunson
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights21