Middleweight
3 Rounds
Dricus Du Plessis won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, July 8, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupRobert Whittaker: Well-roundedvsDricus Du Plessis: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Robert Whittaker wins(50.4%)
Actual result: Dricus Du Plessis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Robert Whittaker has 48pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dricus Du Plessis (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Robert Whittaker
Red Corner
VS
Dricus Du Plessis
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
35
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'0"
Height
6'1"
185.42 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Robert WhittakerL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Marvin Vettori · Sep 22W
vs Paulo Costa · Feb 24W
KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Jun 24L
SUBvs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 24L
vs Reinier de Ridder · Jul 25Dricus Du Plessis
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Derek Brunson · Mar 23W
vs Sean Strickland · Jan 24W
SUBvs Israel Adesanya · Aug 24W
vs Sean Strickland · Feb 25L
vs Khamzat Chimaev · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Robert WhittakerMetricDricus Du Plessis
4.39
Strikes / min
5.18
3.36
Strikes absorbed / min
4.33
59%
Strike defense
52%
0.73
TDs / 15 min
2.22
82%
Takedown defense
34%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.03evenly matched on net striking+0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Robert WhittakerDricus Du Plessis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Robert Whittaker(10 fights)Dricus Du Plessis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+85.5-85.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+182.0-182.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.9-1.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Robert Whittaker
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights24
Dricus Du Plessis
StanceSwitch
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights10