Middleweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Israel Adesanya won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, October 5, 2019·Melbourne, Victoria, Australia, Australia
Style matchupRobert Whittaker: Well-roundedvsIsrael Adesanya: Striker
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Robert Whittaker wins(58.4%)
Actual result: Israel Adesanya wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Israel Adesanya enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Israel Adesanya (52.9%).
- Israel Adesanya has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Robert Whittaker
Red Corner
VS
Israel Adesanya
Blue Corner
+110
(48%)
Vegas Odds
-130
(57%)
35
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'0"
Height
6'4"
185.42 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Robert WhittakerL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Dricus Du Plessis · Jul 23W
vs Paulo Costa · Feb 24W
KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Jun 24L
SUBvs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 24L
vs Reinier de Ridder · Jul 25Israel AdesanyaL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Alex Pereira · Apr 23L
vs Sean Strickland · Sep 23L
SUBvs Dricus Du Plessis · Aug 24L
KOvs Nassourdine Imavov · Feb 25L
KOvs Joe Pyfer · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Robert WhittakerMetricIsrael Adesanya
4.39
Strikes / min
4.03
3.36
Strikes absorbed / min
3.22
59%
Strike defense
55%
0.73
TDs / 15 min
0.05
82%
Takedown defense
76%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.03evenly matched on net striking+0.81
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Robert WhittakerIsrael Adesanya
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Robert Whittaker(10 fights)Israel Adesanya(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+54.7-54.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+308.0-308.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Robert Whittaker
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights24
Israel Adesanya
StanceSwitch
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights19