Middleweight
3 Rounds
Robert Whittaker won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, October 24, 2020·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupRobert Whittaker: Well-roundedvsJared Cannonier: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Robert Whittaker wins(51.1%)
Actual result: Robert Whittaker wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Robert Whittaker has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jared Cannonier (52.9%).
- Jared Cannonier has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Robert Whittaker
Red Corner
VS
Jared Cannonier
Blue Corner
-110
(52%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
35
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'0"
Height
5'11"
185.42 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Robert WhittakerL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Dricus Du Plessis · Jul 23W
vs Paulo Costa · Feb 24W
KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Jun 24L
SUBvs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 24L
vs Reinier de Ridder · Jul 25Jared Cannonier
oldest →latest
W
vs Marvin Vettori · Jun 23L
KOvs Nassourdine Imavov · Jun 24L
vs Caio Borralho · Aug 24W
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 25L
vs Michael Page · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Robert WhittakerMetricJared Cannonier
4.39
Strikes / min
4.42
3.36
Strikes absorbed / min
4.35
59%
Strike defense
56%
0.73
TDs / 15 min
0.54
82%
Takedown defense
64%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.03evenly matched on net striking+0.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Robert WhittakerJared Cannonier
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Robert Whittaker(10 fights)Jared Cannonier(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+114.1-114.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-301.0301.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Robert Whittaker
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights24
Jared Cannonier
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights20