Middleweight
3 Rounds
Khamzat Chimaev won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, October 26, 2024·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupRobert Whittaker: Well-roundedvsKhamzat Chimaev: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Robert Whittaker wins(54.4%)
Actual result: Khamzat Chimaev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Khamzat Chimaev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Tale of the Tape
Robert Whittaker
Red Corner
VS
Khamzat Chimaev
Blue Corner
+200
(33%)
Vegas Odds
-245
(71%)
35
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'2"
185.42 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Robert Whittaker
oldest →latest
W
vs Marvin Vettori · Sep 22L
KOvs Dricus Du Plessis · Jul 23W
vs Paulo Costa · Feb 24W
KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Jun 24L
vs Reinier de Ridder · Jul 25Khamzat ChimaevW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Li Jingliang · Oct 21W
vs Gilbert Burns · Apr 22W
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Sep 22W
vs Kamaru Usman · Oct 23W
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Robert WhittakerMetricKhamzat Chimaev
4.39
Strikes / min
4.01
3.36
Strikes absorbed / min
2.98
59%
Strike defense
52%
0.73
TDs / 15 min
5.32
82%
Takedown defense
87%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.03evenly matched on net striking+1.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Robert WhittakerKhamzat Chimaev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Robert Whittaker(10 fights)Khamzat Chimaev(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+53.2-53.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-245.0245.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
Robert Whittaker
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights24
Khamzat Chimaev
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights9