Middleweight
5 Rounds
Reinier de Ridder won · S-DEC R5
RW
RR
Robert WhittakervsReinier de Ridder
UFC Event · Saturday, July 26, 2025Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupRobert Whittaker: Well-roundedvsReinier de Ridder: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Robert Whittaker wins(51.5%)
Actual result: Reinier de Ridder wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Robert Whittaker has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Robert Whittaker has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Reinier de Ridder (53.5%).
- Reinier de Ridder has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Robert Whittaker
Red Corner
VS
Reinier de Ridder
Blue Corner
-152
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+128
(44%)
35
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'4"
185.42 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Robert Whittaker
oldest →latest
W
vs Marvin Vettori · Sep 22L
KOvs Dricus Du Plessis · Jul 23W
vs Paulo Costa · Feb 24W
KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Jun 24L
SUBvs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 24Reinier de RidderL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Nov 24W
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jan 25W
KOvs Bo Nickal · May 25L
KOvs Brendan Allen · Oct 25L
vs Caio Borralho · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Robert WhittakerMetricReinier de Ridder
4.39
Strikes / min
2.47
3.36
Strikes absorbed / min
2.36
59%
Strike defense
46%
0.73
TDs / 15 min
2.56
82%
Takedown defense
40%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.03evenly matched on net striking+0.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Robert WhittakerReinier de Ridder
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Robert Whittaker(10 fights)Reinier de Ridder(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+104.6-104.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+189.0-189.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.7-1.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Robert Whittaker
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights24
Reinier de Ridder
StanceSouthpaw
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights6