Welterweight
3 Rounds
Stephen Thompson won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, February 22, 2014·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupRobert Whittaker: Well-roundedvsStephen Thompson: Striker
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Stephen Thompson wins(55.8%)
Actual result: Stephen Thompson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stephen Thompson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Robert Whittaker has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Robert Whittaker
Red Corner
VS
Stephen Thompson
Blue Corner
+120
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-130
(57%)
35
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'0"
185.42 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Robert WhittakerL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Dricus Du Plessis · Jul 23W
vs Paulo Costa · Feb 24W
KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Jun 24L
SUBvs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 24L
vs Reinier de Ridder · Jul 25Stephen ThompsonL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Belal Muhammad · Dec 21W
KOvs Kevin Holland · Dec 22L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Dec 23L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Oct 24L
vs Gabriel Bonfim · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Robert WhittakerMetricStephen Thompson
4.39
Strikes / min
4.05
3.36
Strikes absorbed / min
3.00
59%
Strike defense
54%
0.73
TDs / 15 min
0.23
82%
Takedown defense
63%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.03evenly matched on net striking+1.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Robert WhittakerStephen Thompson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Robert Whittaker(10 fights)Stephen Thompson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-17.517.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+24.0-24.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Robert Whittaker
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights24
Stephen Thompson
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights21