Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Phil Davis won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 7, 2010·Oakland, California, USA, USA
Style matchupRodney Wallace: WrestlervsPhil Davis: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Rodney Wallace wins(57.2%)
Actual result: Phil Davis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Phil Davis has 27pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Phil Davis has 44pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Rodney Wallace (52.9%).
- Phil Davis has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Rodney Wallace
Red Corner
VS
Phil Davis
Blue Corner
+600
(14%)
Vegas Odds
-900
(90%)
44
Age
41
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
6'2"
182.88 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rodney Wallace
oldest →latest
L
vs Jared Hamman · Mar 10Phil Davis
oldest →latest
W
vs Vinny Magalhaes · Apr 13W
vs Lyoto Machida · Aug 13L
vs Anthony Johnson · Apr 14W
vs Glover Teixeira · Oct 14L
vs Ryan Bader · Jan 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rodney WallaceMetricPhil Davis
1.13
Strikes / min
2.85
3.44
Strikes absorbed / min
1.33
45%
Strike defense
72%
6.00
TDs / 15 min
2.99
28%
Takedown defense
72%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.31Δ 3.83 — meaningful gap+1.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Rodney WallacePhil Davis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rodney Wallace(2 fights)Phil Davis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-32.032.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-2.02.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-2.02.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Rodney Wallace
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights2
Phil Davis
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights11