Middleweight
3 Rounds
Rodolfo Vieira won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, March 7, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupRodolfo Vieira: WrestlervsSaparbeg Safarov: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Rodolfo Vieira wins(65.0%)
Actual result: Rodolfo Vieira wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rodolfo Vieira threatens submissions; Saparbeg Safarov has lost 67% of fights by sub.
- Rodolfo Vieira has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Saparbeg Safarov has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Rodolfo Vieira
Red Corner
VS
Saparbeg Safarov
Blue Corner
-570
(85%)
Vegas Odds
+480
(17%)
36
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'1"
185.42 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rodolfo Vieira
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Cody Brundage · Apr 23W
SUBvs Armen Petrosyan · Feb 24L
vs Andre Petroski · Feb 25W
vs Tresean Gore · Aug 25L
KOvs Bo Nickal · Nov 25Saparbeg Safarov
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Gian Villante · Dec 16L
SUBvs Tyson Pedro · Feb 18W
vs Nicolae Negumereanu · Mar 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rodolfo VieiraMetricSaparbeg Safarov
3.43
Strikes / min
4.03
4.28
Strikes absorbed / min
2.96
49%
Strike defense
47%
2.87
TDs / 15 min
2.52
60%
Takedown defense
33%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.85Δ 1.92 — meaningful gap+1.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Rodolfo VieiraSaparbeg Safarov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rodolfo Vieira(10 fights)Saparbeg Safarov(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+32.4-32.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-147.0147.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
Rodolfo Vieira
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights10
Saparbeg Safarov
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights4