Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rodolfo Vieira threatens submissions; Saparbeg Safarov has lost 67% of fights by sub.
- Rodolfo Vieira has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Saparbeg Safarov has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rodolfo VieiraL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Armen Petrosyan · Feb 24L
vs Andre Petroski · Feb 25W
vs Tresean Gore · Aug 25L
DECvs Eric McConico · Apr 26 Saparbeg Safarov
oldest →L
KOvs Gian Villante · Dec 16L
SUBvs Tyson Pedro · Feb 18W
vs Nicolae Negumereanu · Mar 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rodolfo VieiraMetricSaparbeg Safarov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.85Δ 1.92 — meaningful gap+1.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Rodolfo VieiraSaparbeg Safarov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rodolfo Vieira(10 fights)Saparbeg Safarov(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -8.9|Blue +8.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -147.0|Blue +147.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Rodolfo VieiraTargetSaparbeg Safarov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Rodolfo Vieira edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns2
Control1:53
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
