Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Rodrigo Nascimento won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 4, 2023·Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Rodrigo Nascimento wins(62.2%)
Actual result: Rodrigo Nascimento wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Don'Tale Mayes enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Don'Tale Mayes is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Rodrigo Nascimento has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Rodrigo Nascimento
Red Corner
VS
Don'Tale Mayes
Blue Corner
-205
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
33
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'6"
203.2 cm
Reach
205.74 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rodrigo NascimentoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Alan Baudot · Jul 21W
vs Tanner Boser · Sep 22W
vs Ilir Latifi · May 23L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · May 24L
vs Alexandr Romanov · Nov 24Don'Tale MayesL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Andrei Arlovski · Jun 23W
vs Caio Machado · Apr 24L
vs Shamil Gaziev · Aug 24L
SUBvs Valter Walker · Feb 25L
vs Thomas Petersen · May 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rodrigo NascimentoMetricDon'Tale Mayes
3.71
Strikes / min
3.22
4.34
Strikes absorbed / min
3.61
44%
Strike defense
46%
1.02
TDs / 15 min
0.59
60%
Takedown defense
46%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.63evenly matched on net striking-0.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Rodrigo NascimentoDon'Tale Mayes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rodrigo Nascimento(8 fights)Don'Tale Mayes(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+26.6-26.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Rodrigo Nascimento
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights8
Don'Tale Mayes
StanceOrthodox
Height78.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights10