Flyweight
3 Rounds
Kai Kara-France won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, March 6, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupRogerio Bontorin: WrestlervsKai Kara-France: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Rogerio Bontorin wins(58.9%)
Actual result: Kai Kara-France wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kai Kara-France has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Kai Kara-France has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Rogerio Bontorin
Red Corner
VS
Kai Kara-France
Blue Corner
+117
(46%)
Vegas Odds
-137
(58%)
34
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'4"
170.18 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rogerio Bontorin
oldest →latest
W
vs Magomed Bibulatov · Feb 19W
KOvs Raulian Paiva · Aug 19L
vs Ray Borg · Feb 20W
vs Matt Schnell · May 21L
vs Brandon Royval · Jan 22Kai Kara-France
oldest →latest
W
vs Askar Askarov · Mar 22L
KOvs Brandon Moreno · Jul 22L
vs Amir Albazi · Jun 23W
KOvs Steve Erceg · Aug 24L
SUBvs Alexandre Pantoja · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rogerio BontorinMetricKai Kara-France
2.63
Strikes / min
4.46
3.27
Strikes absorbed / min
3.24
50%
Strike defense
64%
2.90
TDs / 15 min
0.56
51%
Takedown defense
83%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.64Δ 1.86 — meaningful gap+1.22
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Rogerio BontorinKai Kara-France
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rogerio Bontorin(6 fights)Kai Kara-France(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-12.812.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+224.0-224.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.31.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Rogerio Bontorin
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights6
Kai Kara-France
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights11