Middleweight
5 Rounds
Anthony Hernandez won · SUB R4
UFC Event·Saturday, August 9, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Anthony Hernandez wins(56.0%)
Actual result: Anthony Hernandez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Roman Dolidze is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Anthony Hernandez has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Anthony Hernandez has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Roman Dolidze
Red Corner
VS
Anthony Hernandez
Blue Corner
+265
(27%)
Vegas Odds
-330
(77%)
37
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'0"
193.04 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Roman Dolidze
oldest →latest
L
vs Nassourdine Imavov · Feb 24W
vs Anthony Smith · Jun 24W
KOvs Kevin Holland · Oct 24W
vs Marvin Vettori · Mar 25L
vs Christian Leroy Duncan · Mar 26Anthony Hernandez
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Edmen Shahbazyan · May 23W
SUBvs Roman Kopylov · Feb 24W
KOvs Michel Pereira · Oct 24W
vs Brendan Allen · Feb 25L
KOvs Sean Strickland · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Roman DolidzeMetricAnthony Hernandez
3.19
Strikes / min
4.57
3.71
Strikes absorbed / min
3.10
48%
Strike defense
51%
1.16
TDs / 15 min
5.88
32%
Takedown defense
68%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
1.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.52Δ 1.99 — meaningful gap+1.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Roman DolidzeAnthony Hernandez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Roman Dolidze(10 fights)Anthony Hernandez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-16.416.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-21.021.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
Roman Dolidze
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights14
Anthony Hernandez
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights12