Middleweight
3 Rounds
Christian Leroy Duncan won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 21, 2026·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Model Prediction: Christian Leroy Duncan wins(53.4%)
Actual result: Christian Leroy Duncan wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Christian Leroy Duncan enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Christian Leroy Duncan has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Christian Leroy Duncan (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Roman Dolidze
Red Corner
VS
Christian Leroy Duncan
Blue Corner
+340
(23%)
Vegas Odds
-470
(82%)
37
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'2"
Height
6'2"
193.04 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Roman Dolidze
oldest →latest
L
vs Nassourdine Imavov · Feb 24W
vs Anthony Smith · Jun 24W
KOvs Kevin Holland · Oct 24W
vs Marvin Vettori · Mar 25L
SUBvs Anthony Hernandez · Aug 25Christian Leroy DuncanW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Claudio Ribeiro · Mar 24L
vs Gregory Rodrigues · Jul 24W
vs Andrey Pulyaev · Mar 25W
KOvs Eryk Anders · Aug 25W
KOvs Marco Tulio · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Roman DolidzeMetricChristian Leroy Duncan
3.19
Strikes / min
4.43
3.71
Strikes absorbed / min
2.59
48%
Strike defense
52%
1.16
TDs / 15 min
0.33
32%
Takedown defense
63%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.52Δ 2.36 — meaningful gap+1.84
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Roman DolidzeChristian Leroy Duncan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Roman Dolidze(10 fights)Christian Leroy Duncan(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+13.8-13.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+91.0-91.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Roman Dolidze
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights14
Christian Leroy Duncan
StanceSwitch
Height74.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights9