Middleweight
3 Rounds
Gregory Rodrigues won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 15, 2025·New York City, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupRoman Kopylov: Pressure fightervsGregory Rodrigues: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Gregory Rodrigues wins(58.5%)
Actual result: Gregory Rodrigues wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Roman Kopylov is a KO finisher (83% of wins). Gregory Rodrigues has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Roman Kopylov (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Roman Kopylov
Red Corner
VS
Gregory Rodrigues
Blue Corner
+164
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-196
(66%)
34
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'3"
190.5 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Roman Kopylov
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Josh Fremd · Sep 23L
SUBvs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 24W
vs Cesar Almeida · Jun 24W
KOvs Chris Curtis · Jan 25L
vs Paulo Costa · Jul 25Gregory RodriguesW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Brad Tavares · Feb 24W
vs Christian Leroy Duncan · Jul 24L
KOvs Jared Cannonier · Feb 25W
KOvs Jack Hermansson · Jun 25W
KOvs Brunno Ferreira · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Roman KopylovMetricGregory Rodrigues
4.54
Strikes / min
5.53
5.08
Strikes absorbed / min
4.78
53%
Strike defense
50%
1.12
TDs / 15 min
1.90
88%
Takedown defense
75%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.54Δ 1.29 — meaningful gap+0.75
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Roman KopylovGregory Rodrigues
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Roman Kopylov(10 fights)Gregory Rodrigues(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-45.245.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-21.021.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Roman Kopylov
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11
Gregory Rodrigues
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights13