Middleweight
3 Rounds
Roman Kopylov won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, September 16, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Roman Kopylov wins(60.2%)
Actual result: Roman Kopylov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Josh Fremd threatens submissions; Roman Kopylov has lost 40% of fights by sub.
- Roman Kopylov has 58pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Roman Kopylov (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Roman Kopylov
Red Corner
VS
Josh Fremd
Blue Corner
-325
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+260
(28%)
34
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'4"
190.5 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Roman KopylovL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 24W
vs Cesar Almeida · Jun 24W
KOvs Chris Curtis · Jan 25L
vs Paulo Costa · Jul 25L
vs Gregory Rodrigues · Nov 25Josh Fremd
oldest →latest
L
vs Anthony Hernandez · Apr 22L
SUBvs Tresean Gore · Oct 22W
SUBvs Sedriques Dumas · Mar 23W
vs Jamie Pickett · Aug 23L
vs Andre Petroski · Jul 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Roman KopylovMetricJosh Fremd
4.54
Strikes / min
2.52
5.08
Strikes absorbed / min
2.23
53%
Strike defense
47%
1.12
TDs / 15 min
0.66
88%
Takedown defense
30%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.54evenly matched on net striking+0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Roman KopylovJosh Fremd
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Roman Kopylov(10 fights)Josh Fremd(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+23.0-23.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Roman Kopylov
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11
Josh Fremd
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights6