Middleweight
3 Rounds
Karl Roberson won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 9, 2019·Moscow, Moscow, Russia, Russia
Model Prediction: Karl Roberson wins(53.3%)
Actual result: Karl Roberson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Karl Roberson enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Karl Roberson threatens submissions; Roman Kopylov has lost 40% of fights by sub.
- Roman Kopylov has 48pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Roman Kopylov
Red Corner
VS
Karl Roberson
Blue Corner
-145
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+125
(44%)
34
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'1"
190.5 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Roman KopylovL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 24W
vs Cesar Almeida · Jun 24W
KOvs Chris Curtis · Jan 25L
vs Paulo Costa · Jul 25L
vs Gregory Rodrigues · Nov 25Karl RobersonL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Wellington Turman · Jul 19L
SUBvs Marvin Vettori · Jun 20L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Apr 21L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Mar 22L
KOvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Jul 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Roman KopylovMetricKarl Roberson
4.54
Strikes / min
2.57
5.08
Strikes absorbed / min
2.42
53%
Strike defense
57%
1.12
TDs / 15 min
0.72
88%
Takedown defense
40%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.54evenly matched on net striking+0.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Roman KopylovKarl Roberson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Roman Kopylov(10 fights)Karl Roberson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-24.324.3
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.1-49.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.6-49.6
Roman Kopylov
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11
Karl Roberson
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights10