Middleweight
3 Rounds
Roman Kopylov won · Decision R3
Elo1520
Elo1484
Roman KopylovvsMarco TulioUFC Prediction Result
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · Saturday, May 9, 2026Newark, USA
Official fight result
Roman Kopylov won
Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
Style matchup
Model Prediction: Marco Tulio wins(56.6%)
Scouting Report
- Roman Kopylov is a KO finisher (71% of wins). Marco Tulio has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Roman Kopylov has 88pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Roman Kopylov
Marco Tulio
—
Vegas Odds
—
1520
1484
34
32
Southpaw
Orthodox
6'0"
6'0"
190.5 cm
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Roman Kopylov
oldest →
SUBvs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 24
vs Cesar Almeida · Jun 24
KOvs Chris Curtis · Jan 25
vs Paulo Costa · Jul 25
vs Gregory Rodrigues · Nov 25
latestMarco Tulio
oldest →
KOvs Ihor Potieria · Jan 25
KOvs Tresean Gore · Apr 25
KOvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Nov 25
latestOutput & Defense Comparison
Roman KopylovMetricMarco Tulio
4.54
Strikes / min
6.02
5.08
Strikes absorbed / min
2.97
53%
Strike defense
56%
1.12
TDs / 15 min
1.05
88%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Roman KopylovMarco Tulio
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
EVEN
— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Roman Kopylov
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights12
Marco Tulio
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4