Middleweight
3 Rounds
Ron Stallings won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 4, 2015·Fairfax, Virginia, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Ron Stallings wins(64.0%)
Actual result: Ron Stallings wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ron Stallings has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ron Stallings (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Ron Stallings
Red Corner
VS
Justin Jones
Blue Corner
+160
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-185
(65%)
43
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
5'11"
190.5 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ron StallingsL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Uriah Hall · Jan 15L
vs Joe Riggs · Sep 15Justin Jones
oldest →latest
L
vs Corey Anderson · Dec 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ron StallingsMetricJustin Jones
3.22
Strikes / min
1.70
3.26
Strikes absorbed / min
3.17
51%
Strike defense
45%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.00
71%
Takedown defense
46%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.04Δ 1.43 — meaningful gap-1.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ron StallingsJustin Jones
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ron Stallings(3 fights)Justin Jones(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-3.23.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-43.043.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Ron Stallings
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights3
Justin Jones
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach—
Fights2