Flyweight
3 Rounds
Ronaldo Rodriguez won · SUB R2
RR
DB
Ronaldo RodriguezvsDenys Bondar
UFC Event · Saturday, February 24, 2024Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico, Mexico
Style matchupRonaldo Rodriguez: Well-roundedvsDenys Bondar: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Ronaldo Rodriguez wins(59.3%)
Actual result: Ronaldo Rodriguez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ronaldo Rodriguez threatens submissions; Denys Bondar has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Denys Bondar has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Denys Bondar has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Ronaldo Rodriguez
Red Corner
VS
Denys Bondar
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
+110
(48%)
27
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'6"
165.1 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ronaldo Rodriguez
oldest →latest
W
vs Ode Osbourne · Sep 24L
vs Kevin Borjas · Mar 25Denys BondarL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Malcolm Gordon · Feb 22L
vs Carlos Hernandez · Jun 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ronaldo RodriguezMetricDenys Bondar
2.71
Strikes / min
4.59
3.80
Strikes absorbed / min
5.16
44%
Strike defense
56%
1.09
TDs / 15 min
3.99
64%
Takedown defense
62%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.09evenly matched on net striking-0.57
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ronaldo RodriguezDenys Bondar
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ronaldo Rodriguez(3 fights)Denys Bondar(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+31.9-31.9
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.5-49.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.4-49.4
Ronaldo Rodriguez
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights3
Denys Bondar
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights3