Lightweight
3 Rounds
Rongzhu won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 23, 2025·Shanghai, Hebei, China, China
Style matchupRongzhu: Pressure fightervsAustin Hubbard: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Rongzhu wins(67.3%)
Actual result: Rongzhu wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rongzhu has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Rongzhu
Red Corner
VS
Austin Hubbard
Blue Corner
-295
(75%)
Vegas Odds
+240
(29%)
26
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rongzhu
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Ignacio Bahamondes · Feb 22L
KOvs Chris Padilla · Sep 24W
vs Kody Steele · Feb 25Austin HubbardL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Vinc Pichel · Aug 21L
SUBvs Kurt Holobaugh · Aug 23W
vs Michal Figlak · Apr 24L
vs Alexander Hernandez · Oct 24L
vs MarQuel Mederos · Mar 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
RongzhuMetricAustin Hubbard
6.02
Strikes / min
3.97
5.44
Strikes absorbed / min
4.10
52%
Strike defense
55%
1.35
TDs / 15 min
1.63
84%
Takedown defense
68%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.58evenly matched on net striking-0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
RongzhuAustin Hubbard
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rongzhu(4 fights)Austin Hubbard(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+30.6-30.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+49.0-49.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Rongzhu
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4
Austin Hubbard
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights12