Lightweight
3 Rounds
Chris Padilla won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, September 7, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupRongzhu: Pressure fightervsChris Padilla: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Chris Padilla wins(57.9%)
Actual result: Chris Padilla wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Padilla enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Chris Padilla is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Rongzhu has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Rongzhu
Red Corner
VS
Chris Padilla
Blue Corner
-258
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+210
(32%)
26
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'9"
180.34 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
RongzhuW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Ignacio Bahamondes · Feb 22W
vs Kody Steele · Feb 25W
vs Austin Hubbard · Aug 25Chris PadillaW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs James Llontop · Apr 24W
vs Jai Herbert · Mar 25W
KOvs Ismael Bonfim · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
RongzhuMetricChris Padilla
6.02
Strikes / min
6.19
5.44
Strikes absorbed / min
4.88
52%
Strike defense
49%
1.35
TDs / 15 min
1.13
84%
Takedown defense
80%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.58evenly matched on net striking+1.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
RongzhuChris Padilla
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rongzhu(4 fights)Chris Padilla(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-36.836.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+791.0-791.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-2.02.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Rongzhu
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4
Chris Padilla
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4