Middleweight
3 Rounds
Thiago Santos won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Sunday, March 23, 2014·Natal, Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupRonny Markes: WrestlervsThiago Santos: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Ronny Markes wins(58.3%)
Actual result: Thiago Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Thiago Santos is a KO finisher (79% of wins). Ronny Markes has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Ronny Markes has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Ronny Markes
Red Corner
VS
Thiago Santos
Blue Corner
-840
(89%)
Vegas Odds
+660
(13%)
38
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'2"
190.5 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ronny Markes
oldest →latest
W
vs Karlos Vemola · Aug 11W
vs Aaron Simpson · Feb 12W
vs Andrew Craig · Jan 13L
KOvs Yoel Romero · Nov 13Thiago SantosL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Nov 20L
vs Aleksandar Rakic · Mar 21W
vs Johnny Walker · Oct 21L
vs Magomed Ankalaev · Mar 22L
KOvs Jamahal Hill · Aug 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ronny MarkesMetricThiago Santos
2.17
Strikes / min
3.72
2.43
Strikes absorbed / min
2.57
45%
Strike defense
53%
3.13
TDs / 15 min
0.88
100%
Takedown defense
65%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.26Δ 1.41 — meaningful gap+1.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ronny MarkesThiago Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ronny Markes(5 fights)Thiago Santos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+50.8-50.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-95.095.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.2-2.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Ronny Markes
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights5
Thiago Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights24