Lightweight
3 Rounds
Roosevelt Roberts won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, May 30, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Roosevelt Roberts wins(53.0%)
Actual result: Roosevelt Roberts wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Roosevelt Roberts enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Roosevelt Roberts threatens submissions; Brok Weaver has lost 100% of fights by sub.
- Brok Weaver has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Brok Weaver (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Roosevelt Roberts
Red Corner
VS
Brok Weaver
Blue Corner
-360
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+300
(25%)
32
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
6'0"
185.42 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Roosevelt RobertsL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Jun 20L
vs Kevin Croom · Sep 20L
KOvs Ignacio Bahamondes · Aug 21L
SUBvs Mateusz Rebecki · Nov 23L
vs Ludovit Klein · Sep 24Brok Weaver
oldest →latest
W
vs Kazula Vargas · Feb 20L
SUBvs Jalin Turner · Sep 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Roosevelt RobertsMetricBrok Weaver
2.84
Strikes / min
4.78
3.10
Strikes absorbed / min
4.35
52%
Strike defense
46%
1.18
TDs / 15 min
0.41
50%
Takedown defense
66%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.26evenly matched on net striking+0.43
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Roosevelt RobertsBrok Weaver
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Roosevelt Roberts(10 fights)Brok Weaver(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.9-16.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+98.0-98.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Roosevelt Roberts
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights10
Brok Weaver
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights3