Lightweight
3 Rounds
Roosevelt Roberts won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Friday, November 30, 2018·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Roosevelt Roberts wins(53.6%)
Actual result: Roosevelt Roberts wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Roosevelt Roberts enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Roosevelt Roberts threatens submissions; Darrell Horcher has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Roosevelt Roberts has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Darrell Horcher (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Roosevelt Roberts
Red Corner
VS
Darrell Horcher
Blue Corner
-340
(77%)
Vegas Odds
+280
(26%)
32
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Roosevelt RobertsL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Jun 20L
vs Kevin Croom · Sep 20L
KOvs Ignacio Bahamondes · Aug 21L
SUBvs Mateusz Rebecki · Nov 23L
vs Ludovit Klein · Sep 24Darrell Horcher
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Khabib Nurmagomedov · Apr 16W
vs Devin Powell · Jun 17L
vs Scott Holtzman · Dec 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Roosevelt RobertsMetricDarrell Horcher
2.84
Strikes / min
2.05
3.10
Strikes absorbed / min
4.21
52%
Strike defense
39%
1.18
TDs / 15 min
0.35
50%
Takedown defense
47%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.26Δ 1.90 — meaningful gap-2.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Roosevelt RobertsDarrell Horcher
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Roosevelt Roberts(10 fights)Darrell Horcher(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+11.3-11.3
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.3-49.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.9-49.9
Roosevelt Roberts
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights10
Darrell Horcher
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4