Lightweight
3 Rounds
Kevin Croom won
UFC Event·Saturday, September 12, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Roosevelt Roberts wins(71.0%)
Actual result: Kevin Croom wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Roosevelt Roberts enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Kevin Croom enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Roosevelt Roberts has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Roosevelt Roberts has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Roosevelt Roberts
Red Corner
VS
Kevin Croom
Blue Corner
-385
(79%)
Vegas Odds
+286
(26%)
32
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
5'11"
185.42 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Roosevelt RobertsL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Brok Weaver · May 20L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Jun 20L
KOvs Ignacio Bahamondes · Aug 21L
SUBvs Mateusz Rebecki · Nov 23L
vs Ludovit Klein · Sep 24Kevin CroomL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Alex Caceres · Feb 21L
vs Brian Kelleher · Jan 22L
KOvs Alatengheili · Apr 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Roosevelt RobertsMetricKevin Croom
2.84
Strikes / min
2.65
3.10
Strikes absorbed / min
3.10
52%
Strike defense
41%
1.18
TDs / 15 min
0.48
50%
Takedown defense
30%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.26evenly matched on net striking-0.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Roosevelt RobertsKevin Croom
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Roosevelt Roberts(10 fights)Kevin Croom(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+34.8-34.8
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Roosevelt Roberts
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights10
Kevin Croom
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4