Lightweight
3 Rounds
Roosevelt Roberts won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 27, 2019·Sunrise, Florida, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Roosevelt Roberts wins(74.9%)
Actual result: Roosevelt Roberts wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Roosevelt Roberts enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Roosevelt Roberts has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Roosevelt Roberts has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Roosevelt Roberts
Red Corner
VS
Thomas Gifford
Blue Corner
-470
(82%)
Vegas Odds
+375
(21%)
32
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'1"
185.42 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Roosevelt RobertsL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Jun 20L
vs Kevin Croom · Sep 20L
KOvs Ignacio Bahamondes · Aug 21L
SUBvs Mateusz Rebecki · Nov 23L
vs Ludovit Klein · Sep 24Thomas Gifford
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Mike Davis · Oct 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Roosevelt RobertsMetricThomas Gifford
2.84
Strikes / min
3.97
3.10
Strikes absorbed / min
6.45
52%
Strike defense
37%
1.18
TDs / 15 min
0.50
50%
Takedown defense
33%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.26Δ 2.22 — meaningful gap-2.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Roosevelt RobertsThomas Gifford
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Roosevelt Roberts(10 fights)Thomas Gifford(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+17.9-17.9
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Roosevelt Roberts
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights10
Thomas Gifford
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights2