Welterweight
3 Rounds
Rory MacDonald won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, August 6, 2011·Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA, USA
Style matchupRory MacDonald: Elusive strikervsMike Pyle: Submission grappler
The grappler must close distance and chain wrestling. The elusive striker keeps space and picks shots.
Model Prediction: Rory MacDonald wins(58.1%)
Actual result: Rory MacDonald wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mike Pyle enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mike Pyle is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Rory MacDonald has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Rory MacDonald has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Rory MacDonald
Red Corner
VS
Mike Pyle
Blue Corner
-255
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+235
(30%)
36
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'0"
193.04 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rory MacDonaldL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Demian Maia · Feb 14W
vs Tyron Woodley · Jun 14W
KOvs Tarec Saffiedine · Oct 14L
KOvs Robbie Lawler · Jul 15L
vs Stephen Thompson · Jun 16Mike PyleL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Colby Covington · May 15W
KOvs Sean Spencer · Feb 16L
KOvs Alberto Mina · Jul 16L
KOvs Alex Garcia · Dec 16L
KOvs Zak Ottow · Mar 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rory MacDonaldMetricMike Pyle
3.75
Strikes / min
2.74
2.80
Strikes absorbed / min
2.84
62%
Strike defense
60%
1.77
TDs / 15 min
1.80
88%
Takedown defense
70%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.95Δ 1.05 — meaningful gap-0.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Rory MacDonaldMike Pyle
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rory MacDonald(10 fights)Mike Pyle(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-52.652.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-42.042.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Rory MacDonald
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights12
Mike Pyle
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights16