Welterweight
5 Rounds
Rory MacDonald won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 4, 2014·Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada, Canada
Style matchupRory MacDonald: Elusive strikervsTarec Saffiedine: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.
Model Prediction: Rory MacDonald wins(64.4%)
Actual result: Rory MacDonald wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tarec Saffiedine enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tarec Saffiedine (52.9%).
- Rory MacDonald has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Rory MacDonald
Red Corner
VS
Tarec Saffiedine
Blue Corner
-430
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+380
(21%)
36
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'0"
Height
5'10"
193.04 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rory MacDonaldL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Robbie Lawler · Nov 13W
vs Demian Maia · Feb 14W
vs Tyron Woodley · Jun 14L
KOvs Robbie Lawler · Jul 15L
vs Stephen Thompson · Jun 16Tarec SaffiedineL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Hyun Gyu Lim · Jan 14W
vs Jake Ellenberger · Jan 16L
vs Rick Story · May 16L
vs Dong Hyun Kim · Dec 16L
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Jun 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rory MacDonaldMetricTarec Saffiedine
3.75
Strikes / min
4.05
2.80
Strikes absorbed / min
3.06
62%
Strike defense
62%
1.77
TDs / 15 min
0.52
88%
Takedown defense
84%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.95evenly matched on net striking+0.99
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Rory MacDonaldTarec Saffiedine
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rory MacDonald(10 fights)Tarec Saffiedine(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+69.9-69.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-161.0161.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.1-2.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Rory MacDonald
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights12
Tarec Saffiedine
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights6