Welterweight
3 Rounds
Rory MacDonald won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 14, 2014·Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Rory MacDonald wins(62.1%)
Actual result: Rory MacDonald wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tyron Woodley enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Tyron Woodley is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Rory MacDonald has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Rory MacDonald
Red Corner
VS
Tyron Woodley
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
36
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'9"
193.04 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rory MacDonaldL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Robbie Lawler · Nov 13W
vs Demian Maia · Feb 14W
KOvs Tarec Saffiedine · Oct 14L
KOvs Robbie Lawler · Jul 15L
vs Stephen Thompson · Jun 16Tyron WoodleyL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Darren Till · Sep 18L
vs Kamaru Usman · Mar 19L
vs Gilbert Burns · May 20L
KOvs Colby Covington · Sep 20L
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Mar 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rory MacDonaldMetricTyron Woodley
3.75
Strikes / min
2.36
2.80
Strikes absorbed / min
2.76
62%
Strike defense
54%
1.77
TDs / 15 min
1.06
88%
Takedown defense
87%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.95Δ 1.35 — meaningful gap-0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Rory MacDonaldTyron Woodley
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rory MacDonald(10 fights)Tyron Woodley(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+36.2-36.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Rory MacDonald
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights12
Tyron Woodley
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights15