Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Karolina Kowalkiewicz won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 30, 2016·Atlanta, Georgia, USA, USA
Style matchupRose Namajunas: Well-roundedvsKarolina Kowalkiewicz: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Rose Namajunas wins(58.1%)
Actual result: Karolina Kowalkiewicz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Karolina Kowalkiewicz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Rose Namajunas
Red Corner
VS
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Blue Corner
-190
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+165
(38%)
33
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'3"
165.1 cm
Reach
162.56 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rose Namajunas
oldest →latest
W
vs Amanda Ribas · Mar 24W
vs Tracy Cortez · Jul 24L
vs Erin Blanchfield · Nov 24W
vs Miranda Maverick · Jun 25L
vs Natalia Silva · Jan 26Karolina KowalkiewiczL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Vanessa Demopoulos · May 23W
vs Diana Belbita · Oct 23L
vs Iasmin Lucindo · May 24L
vs Denise Gomes · Nov 24L
KOvs Julia Polastri · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rose NamajunasMetricKarolina Kowalkiewicz
3.50
Strikes / min
5.54
3.38
Strikes absorbed / min
5.77
63%
Strike defense
56%
1.47
TDs / 15 min
0.36
62%
Takedown defense
74%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.12evenly matched on net striking-0.23
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Rose NamajunasKarolina Kowalkiewicz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rose Namajunas(10 fights)Karolina Kowalkiewicz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+4.0-4.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+22.0-22.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Rose Namajunas
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights19
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights19