Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Rose Namajunas won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, April 15, 2017·Kansas City, Missouri, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Rose Namajunas wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Rose Namajunas wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Rose Namajunas
Red Corner
VS
Michelle Waterson
Blue Corner
+110
(48%)
Vegas Odds
-130
(57%)
33
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'3"
165.1 cm
Reach
157.48 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rose Namajunas
oldest →latest
W
vs Amanda Ribas · Mar 24W
vs Tracy Cortez · Jul 24L
vs Erin Blanchfield · Nov 24W
vs Miranda Maverick · Jun 25L
vs Natalia Silva · Jan 26Michelle Waterson
oldest →latest
W
vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Mar 19L
vs Joanna Jedrzejczyk · Oct 19L
vs Carla Esparza · May 20W
vs Angela Hill · Sep 20L
vs Marina Rodriguez · May 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rose NamajunasMetricMichelle Waterson
3.50
Strikes / min
—
3.38
Strikes absorbed / min
—
63%
Strike defense
—
1.47
TDs / 15 min
—
62%
Takedown defense
—
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
—
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Rose NamajunasMichelle Waterson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rose Namajunas(10 fights)Michelle Waterson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-12.712.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+140.0-140.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Rose Namajunas
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights19
Michelle Waterson
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights3