Women's Strawweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Rose Namajunas won · S-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, November 6, 2021·New York City, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupRose Namajunas: Well-roundedvsZhang Weili: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Rose Namajunas wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Rose Namajunas wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rose Namajunas has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Zhang Weili (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Rose Namajunas
Red Corner
VS
Zhang Weili
Blue Corner
+100
(50%)
Vegas Odds
-120
(55%)
33
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'5"
Height
5'4"
165.1 cm
Reach
160.02 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rose Namajunas
oldest →latest
W
vs Amanda Ribas · Mar 24W
vs Tracy Cortez · Jul 24L
vs Erin Blanchfield · Nov 24W
vs Miranda Maverick · Jun 25L
vs Natalia Silva · Jan 26Zhang Weili
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Carla Esparza · Nov 22W
vs Amanda Lemos · Aug 23W
vs Yan Xiaonan · Apr 24W
vs Tatiana Suarez · Feb 25L
vs Valentina Shevchenko · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rose NamajunasMetricZhang Weili
3.50
Strikes / min
4.66
3.38
Strikes absorbed / min
2.63
63%
Strike defense
53%
1.47
TDs / 15 min
1.96
62%
Takedown defense
63%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.12Δ 1.91 — meaningful gap+2.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Rose NamajunasZhang Weili
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rose Namajunas(10 fights)Zhang Weili(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+82.3-82.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Rose Namajunas
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights19
Zhang Weili
StanceSwitch
Height64.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights9