Lightweight
3 Rounds
Evan Dunham won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 18, 2015·Glasgow, Scotland, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupRoss Pearson: Well-roundedvsEvan Dunham: Submission grappler
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Evan Dunham wins(51.4%)
Actual result: Evan Dunham wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Evan Dunham enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Evan Dunham (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Ross Pearson
Red Corner
VS
Evan Dunham
Blue Corner
-245
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+205
(33%)
41
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
5'10"
175.26 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ross PearsonL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Stevie Ray · Nov 16L
KOvs Dan Hooker · Jun 17W
vs Mizuto Hirota · Feb 18L
vs John Makdessi · Jul 18L
KOvs Desmond Green · Mar 19Evan DunhamL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Joe Lauzon · Dec 15W
vs Rick Glenn · Sep 16L
KOvs Olivier Aubin-Mercier · Apr 18L
KOvs Francisco Trinaldo · Sep 18L
SUBvs Herbert Burns · Jun 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ross PearsonMetricEvan Dunham
3.68
Strikes / min
5.33
4.09
Strikes absorbed / min
3.54
62%
Strike defense
61%
0.74
TDs / 15 min
1.82
75%
Takedown defense
79%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.41Δ 2.20 — meaningful gap+1.79
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ross PearsonEvan Dunham
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ross Pearson(10 fights)Evan Dunham(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+32.9-32.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-70.070.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Ross Pearson
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights23
Evan Dunham
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights17