Lightweight
3 Rounds
Francisco Trinaldo won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, January 17, 2016·Boston, Massachusetts, USA, USA
Style matchupRoss Pearson: Well-roundedvsFrancisco Trinaldo: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Francisco Trinaldo wins(57.6%)
Actual result: Francisco Trinaldo wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ross Pearson has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Francisco Trinaldo (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Ross Pearson
Red Corner
VS
Francisco Trinaldo
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
41
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
5'9"
175.26 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ross PearsonL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Stevie Ray · Nov 16L
KOvs Dan Hooker · Jun 17W
vs Mizuto Hirota · Feb 18L
vs John Makdessi · Jul 18L
KOvs Desmond Green · Mar 19Francisco Trinaldo
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jai Herbert · Jul 20L
vs Muslim Salikhov · Jun 21W
vs Dwight Grant · Oct 21W
vs Danny Roberts · May 22L
vs Randy Brown · Oct 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ross PearsonMetricFrancisco Trinaldo
3.68
Strikes / min
3.13
4.09
Strikes absorbed / min
2.67
62%
Strike defense
60%
0.74
TDs / 15 min
0.98
75%
Takedown defense
60%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.41evenly matched on net striking+0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ross PearsonFrancisco Trinaldo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ross Pearson(10 fights)Francisco Trinaldo(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-54.454.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-13.013.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.6-1.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Ross Pearson
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights23
Francisco Trinaldo
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights26