Lightweight
3 Rounds
Ross Pearson won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 10, 2018·Perth, Western Australia, Australia, Australia
Style matchupRoss Pearson: Well-roundedvsMizuto Hirota: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Mizuto Hirota wins(56.2%)
Actual result: Ross Pearson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ross Pearson enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Ross Pearson has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Ross Pearson
Red Corner
VS
Mizuto Hirota
Blue Corner
-160
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
41
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'7"
175.26 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ross PearsonL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Jorge Masvidal · Jul 16L
vs Stevie Ray · Nov 16L
KOvs Dan Hooker · Jun 17L
vs John Makdessi · Jul 18L
KOvs Desmond Green · Mar 19Mizuto HirotaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Rani Yahya · Mar 13L
vs Rodrigo Damm · Jun 13W
vs Cole Miller · Dec 16L
vs Alexander Volkanovski · Jun 17L
vs Christos Giagos · Dec 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ross PearsonMetricMizuto Hirota
3.68
Strikes / min
3.36
4.09
Strikes absorbed / min
3.50
62%
Strike defense
54%
0.74
TDs / 15 min
1.36
75%
Takedown defense
58%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.41evenly matched on net striking-0.14
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ross PearsonMizuto Hirota
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ross Pearson(10 fights)Mizuto Hirota(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-9.49.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Ross Pearson
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights23
Mizuto Hirota
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights6