Lightweight
3 Rounds
Stevie Ray won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 19, 2016·Belfast, Northern Ireland, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupRoss Pearson: Well-roundedvsStevie Ray: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Ross Pearson wins(53.9%)
Actual result: Stevie Ray wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ross Pearson has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Stevie Ray (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Ross Pearson
Red Corner
VS
Stevie Ray
Blue Corner
-105
(51%)
Vegas Odds
-115
(53%)
41
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
5'10"
175.26 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ross PearsonL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Jorge Masvidal · Jul 16L
KOvs Dan Hooker · Jun 17W
vs Mizuto Hirota · Feb 18L
vs John Makdessi · Jul 18L
KOvs Desmond Green · Mar 19Stevie Ray
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Paul Felder · Jul 17L
vs Kajan Johnson · Mar 18W
vs Jessin Ayari · Oct 18L
KOvs Leonardo Santos · Jun 19W
vs Michael Johnson · Oct 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ross PearsonMetricStevie Ray
3.68
Strikes / min
3.73
4.09
Strikes absorbed / min
2.93
62%
Strike defense
54%
0.74
TDs / 15 min
0.75
75%
Takedown defense
55%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.41Δ 1.21 — meaningful gap+0.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ross PearsonStevie Ray
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ross Pearson(10 fights)Stevie Ray(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-35.535.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+56.0-56.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Ross Pearson
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights23
Stevie Ray
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11