Middleweight
3 Rounds
Alan Belcher won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 5, 2012·East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupRousimar Palhares: WrestlervsAlan Belcher: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Rousimar Palhares wins(59.1%)
Actual result: Alan Belcher wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alan Belcher is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Rousimar Palhares has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Alan Belcher has 55pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Alan Belcher has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Rousimar Palhares
Red Corner
VS
Alan Belcher
Blue Corner
-210
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
46
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
6'2"
180.34 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rousimar Palhares
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs David Branch · Mar 11W
vs Dan Miller · Aug 11W
SUBvs Mike Massenzio · Jan 12L
KOvs Hector Lombard · Dec 12W
SUBvs Mike Pierce · Oct 13Alan BelcherL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Patrick Cote · May 10W
KOvs Jason MacDonald · Sep 11L
vs Yushin Okami · Dec 12L
vs Michael Bisping · Apr 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rousimar PalharesMetricAlan Belcher
1.75
Strikes / min
2.70
2.04
Strikes absorbed / min
3.10
59%
Strike defense
59%
3.93
TDs / 15 min
0.44
0%
Takedown defense
55%
4.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.29evenly matched on net striking-0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Rousimar PalharesAlan Belcher
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rousimar Palhares(8 fights)Alan Belcher(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.0-16.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-119.0119.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Rousimar Palhares
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights8
Alan Belcher
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights5